DEVELOPING SUGAR CANE YIELD PREDICTION ALGORITHMS FROM SATELLITE IMAGERY
By ANDREW ROBSON; CHRIS ABBOTT; DAVID LAMB; ROB BRAMLEY
THE RESEARCH PRESENTED in this paper discusses the accuracies of remote sensing and
GIS as yield prediction tools at both a regional and crop scale over three Australian cane
growing regions; Bundaberg, Burdekin and the Herbert. For the Burdekin region, the
prediction of total tonnes of cane per hectare (TCH) produced from 4999 crops during
the 2011 season was 99% using an algorithm derived from 2010 imagery (green
normalised difference vegetation index) and average yield (TCH) data extracted from
4573 crops. Similar accuracies were produced for the Bundaberg region during 2010
(95.5% from 3544 blocks) and 2011 (91.5% for 3824 crops) using a Bundaberg specific
algorithm derived from 2008–2010 imagery and yield data. The Bundaberg algorithm
was also accurate in predicting yield at specific in-crop locations (91.5% accuracy;
SE = 0.028).